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THE SCORER CALL

Will Arda Güler Score the First Goal Against Paraguay?

Nabivo gives Arda Güler a 13% editorial chance to score first for Türkiye against Paraguay, with the shooting route, failure case and full scorer picks.

STAGE
Group D
KICKOFF
June 19, 11:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM PT
UPDATED
2026-06-17T16:55:36Z

PRIMARY PREDICTION

Arda Güler first-goal prediction

Our estimate is 13%. Paraguay may protect the penalty area, but one free kick or one opening at the top of the box can give Arda Güler the first decisive shot.

Paraguay may close the edge of the box, Arda Güler may not start or play enough minutes, or another player may finish the first chance.

LOCAL MATCH INFORMATION

Türkiye vs Paraguay

Venue local time: Friday, June 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM PDT

ET, CT and PT: Eastern Time (ET): 11:00 PM EDT · Central Time (CT): 10:00 PM CDT · Pacific Time (PT): 8:00 PM PDT

FIFA host city: San Francisco Bay Area

Stadium: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium / Levi's Stadium

Actual location: Santa Clara, California

Address: 4900 Marie P DeBartolo Way, Santa Clara, CA 95054

View the full city schedule
Who is most likely to score in Türkiye vs Paraguay?Nabivo's best scorer pick for Türkiye vs Paraguay is Kenan Yıldız. Our editorial estimate gives him a 28% chance to score.
  • Kenan Yıldız is the Türkiye attacker I trust most to create his own shot when the passing lanes close.
  • From the left he can drive inside, combine with Arda Güler or keep going himself, which gives the pick several realistic paths.
Who is the first-goal pick?Nabivo's first-goal pick is Arda Güler, with a 13% estimated chance to score first.
  • Arda Güler does not need many touches to threaten the first goal: one free kick or one opening at the top of the box may be enough.
  • Paraguay's compact shape could protect the penalty area while still leaving him the shooting lane he wants.
Who is the dark horse scorer?Miguel Almirón is Nabivo's dark horse scorer for Türkiye vs Paraguay, with a 16% estimated chance to score.
  • Miguel Almirón is the Paraguay player I would want if this turns into a running game.
  • Türkiye may have more of the ball, but one loose pass with their shape stretched can put him into open grass.
Our readTürkiye have more invention through Kenan Yıldız and Arda Güler, so I lean their way. The warning is Miguel Almirón: if Türkiye attack carelessly, he is exactly the player who can flip the game in ten seconds.
What was Nabivo’s original pre-match lineup expectation?Original pre-match lineup note: Projected to start in Türkiye's attack; the official starting XI is not yet confirmed.
What is Nabivo's bold prediction?Kenan Yıldız scores or assists, but Paraguay get one major chance on the break.

BEST SCORER PICK

SOLIDKenan YıldızTürkiye28% estimated chance to score
  • Kenan Yıldız is the Türkiye attacker I trust most to create his own shot when the passing lanes close.
  • From the left he can drive inside, combine with Arda Güler or keep going himself, which gives the pick several realistic paths.

Original pre-match lineup note: Projected to start in Türkiye's attack; the official starting XI is not yet confirmed.

BOLD CALL

Group DKenan Yıldız scores or assists, but Paraguay get one major chance on the break.Türkiye vs Paraguay

FIRST GOAL PICK

SOLIDArda GülerTürkiye13% estimated chance to score first
  • Arda Güler does not need many touches to threaten the first goal: one free kick or one opening at the top of the box may be enough.
  • Paraguay's compact shape could protect the penalty area while still leaving him the shooting lane he wants.

Original pre-match lineup note: Projected to start as one of Türkiye's main creative attackers; the official starting XI is not yet confirmed.

DARK HORSE SCORER

SPECULATIVEMiguel AlmirónParaguay16% estimated chance to score
  • Miguel Almirón is the Paraguay player I would want if this turns into a running game.
  • Türkiye may have more of the ball, but one loose pass with their shape stretched can put him into open grass.

Original pre-match lineup note: Projected to start in Paraguay's attack; the official starting XI is not yet confirmed.

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Sources

Updated: 2026-06-17T16:55:36Z

Nabivo editorial estimates are based on projected role, likely minutes, recent international scoring profile and the matchup. They are not official odds.