Norway vs England quarterfinal prediction with Pacific kickoff time, Nabivo editorial win and advance estimates, Erling Haaland vs Harry Kane scorer chances, card risk and live-event triggers.
STAGE
Quarterfinal
KICKOFF
July 11, 5:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM PT
UPDATED
2026-07-10T07:00:00Z
LOCAL MATCH INFORMATION
Norway vs England
Venue local time: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
ET, CT and PT: Eastern Time (ET): 5:00 PM EDT · Central Time (CT): 4:00 PM CDT · Pacific Time (PT): 2:00 PM PDT
FIFA host city: Miami
Stadium: Miami Stadium / Hard Rock Stadium
Actual location: Miami Gardens, Florida
Address: 347 Don Shula Dr, Miami Gardens, FL 33056
England are a narrow favorite, but Haaland's finishing and Norway's direct transition threat make this much closer than the badge gap suggests.
Confirmed fact: Norway vs England is a World Cup quarterfinal at Miami Stadium. The winner faces Argentina or Switzerland in the semifinal.
Pacific kickoff: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM PT.
Venue: Miami Stadium.
Round: Quarterfinal. Semifinal path: winner faces Argentina or Switzerland.
Tactical explanation
Tactical explanation
The match is about England's control against Norway's direct punch. England can own more territory, but one bad rest-defense shape gives Haaland the exact race he wants.
England deserve the slight edge, but the page can flip quickly if Haaland gets the first clean transition chance.
EDITORIAL/MODEL ESTIMATE
Win and advancement estimates
All percentages on this page are Nabivo editorial/model estimates, not official probabilities.
Norway vs England Prediction: Can England Stop Erling Haaland?
Haaland vs Kane: Who Is More Likely To Score?
Which England Players Could Miss The Semifinal With A Yellow Card?
Is Norway Being Underrated Against England?
LIVE UPDATE TRIGGERS
LIVE UPDATE TRIGGERS
Haaland scores: How Did Haaland Score Against England?
Kane scores: How Did Harry Kane Score Against Norway?
Haaland goal disallowed: Why Was Haaland's Goal Disallowed Against England?
England defender booked: Could The Booked England Player Miss The World Cup Semifinal?
Norway scores first: Can England Come Back Against Norway?
England scores first: Can Haaland Still Rescue Norway?
Penalty to England: Why Did England Get A Penalty Against Norway?
Penalty to Norway: Why Did Norway Get A Penalty Against England?
Haaland injured: What Happened To Erling Haaland Against England?
1-1 late: Who Has The Advantage If Norway vs England Goes To Extra Time?
CONDITIONAL SCENARIO
CONDITIONAL SCENARIO
Conditional scenario: the winner moves into a semifinal against Argentina or Switzerland.
LIVE UPDATE
LIVE UPDATE
Live update label: refresh estimates after confirmed lineups, England fitness news, a suspension-relevant booking or any Haaland injury signal.
Who is most likely to score in Norway vs England?Nabivo's best scorer pick for Norway vs England is Erling Haaland. Our editorial estimate gives him a 44% chance to score.
Elite finishing and seven tournament goals make him the clearest single-player scoring route.
Norway's direct transition threat is built around finding him before England's defensive shape is set.
Even with fewer touches, his shot quality can outweigh England's possession edge.
Who is the first-goal pick?Nabivo's first-goal pick is Harry Kane.
England's penalty and central finishing route still runs through Harry Kane.
If England settle early possession, Harry Kane is the most likely player to receive the first clean look.
Who is the dark horse scorer?Jude Bellingham is Nabivo's dark horse scorer for Norway vs England, with a 18% estimated chance to score.
Late runs and set-piece pressure give him a path if Norway focus on Harry Kane.
A stretched match can create second-phase chances around the edge of the box.
Our readEngland have more squad depth, but this is not one-sided. Norway's directness and Erling Haaland's finishing make the favorite uncomfortable if England's defensive availability questions linger.Will Erling Haaland start?Projected to start as Norway's focal point; official starting lineups are not yet confirmed.What is Nabivo's bold prediction?Erling Haaland scores, Harry Kane answers, and the quarterfinal stays live deep into the second half.
BEST SCORER PICK
STRONGErling HaalandNorway44% estimated chance to score
Elite finishing and seven tournament goals make him the clearest single-player scoring route.
Norway's direct transition threat is built around finding him before England's defensive shape is set.
Even with fewer touches, his shot quality can outweigh England's possession edge.
Projected to start as Norway's focal point; official starting lineups are not yet confirmed.
BOLD CALL
QuarterfinalErling Haaland scores, Harry Kane answers, and the quarterfinal stays live deep into the second half.Norway vs England
FIRST GOAL PICK
SOLIDHarry KaneEngland
England's penalty and central finishing route still runs through Harry Kane.
If England settle early possession, Harry Kane is the most likely player to receive the first clean look.
Projected to start as England's central striker; official starting lineups are not yet confirmed.
DARK HORSE SCORER
SPECULATIVEJude BellinghamEngland18% estimated chance to score
Late runs and set-piece pressure give him a path if Norway focus on Harry Kane.
A stretched match can create second-phase chances around the edge of the box.
Expected to start or play major minutes; official starting lineups are not yet confirmed.
Nabivo editorial estimates are based on projected role, likely minutes, recent international scoring profile and the matchup. They are not official odds.
Nabivo supplied content package: World Cup upcoming match content, Norway vs England, July 11, 2026
Source snapshot in supplied package: Reuters England injury, fitness and suspension context
Source snapshot in supplied package: Economic Times schedule and player tournament goal totals
Source snapshot in supplied package: TalkSPORT and betting previews for matchup and card-risk angles